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Hillary Clinton & the Democratic Party Super Delegates E-mail
Wednesday, 06 February 2008

Obama and the Voters vs. Hillary Clinton and the Democratic Party


Hillary, Calculating
(Part Four in a series examining how Hillary's campaign goes beyond the voting booth and into the very power structure of the Democratic party itself.) 

The Democratic Party has 4,049 delegates scheduled for its convention

Whoever wins needs 50% + 1, or 2,025 delegates.  3,253 of these delegates are up for grabs in the primary election voting process, but 796 are given to party leaders, insiders, advisors, and top contributors.  These super-delegates can vote for whomever they like.

The process was instituted following the massive general election loss of George McGovern, a candidate popular with the progressive left who was then easily defeated by Nixon - who was actually seen as the moderate.  

Hillary Leads in Superdelegates 2:1

You can't be friends with everyone in politics unless your ability to grant favors and influence is infinite.  Its inevitable that Hillary won't win every single party super-delegate,  but what has been counted so far indicates she has a huge lead within the party.  Bill and Hillary have been supporting pillars of the Democratic party for decades now - since even before Bill took office in Washington D.C., they've played well within the system and supported their allies.  Loyalty and seniority play into Hillary's huge superdelegate lead - remember, these are important attributes in unions and Democratic politics alike.  

If the voting ties;  Hillary wins

Bad news for Obama fans, but unless Hillary does something to anger the establishment of the party, there's no way they will abandon her and her husband's legendary fundraising abilities.  Obama is making a big splash, and he's surely noted for fast advancement through the party ranks, but the Democrats still have a debt to repay the Clinton family for decades of service to the cause.   

If Obama wins the Vote;  Hillary can still win

Even if the super delegates aren't enough, Hillary could call on her majority of the superdelegates to re-instate the delegates from Michigan and Florida.  She will easily be able to argue that these states are important to any party general election strategy - the party won't want to alienate them as early as the nominating convention.  

 

Right now, Hillary's lead looks safe - and her campaign is a masterwork of utilizing party machinery.  Say what you will about her policies, but Hillary knows how to win.

Obama supporters independently seek delegate support; campaign asks them to back off

Some of Barack Obama's supporters, independent of the official campaign, had decided to start a letter-writting campaign following the Super-Tuesday results and increased news and opinion coverage of the party super-delegates.  Not long after the first emails and faxes started pouring into the offices of the super-delegates, PR managers at the Obama campaign headquarters got into contact with the organizers, asking them to take the pressure off the delegates.

 

Then today (2/8/08), Obama picked up a few more super delegate's pledges:  this was following a speech he gave on the campaign trail.  Obama is hoping it is his speaking skills, his connection and leadership of his followers, and the way he can translate frenzied support into orderly progress.

Some want to see super-delegates eliminated - see it as party elitism

The other question that's been circulating around various discussions online is if the Democratic party needs super delegates at all.  So what if the party wins an election, if the candidate doesn't represent the majority view of the party?  From a public viewpoint, this is a valid argument.  What good is a candidate who isn't aligned with the voters' interest.  From the party's perspective, there is money and power at stake.  Howard Dean may not care one way or another who is elected or what policies they persue, other than how those policies affect the party's fundraising abilities and voter popularity.  So long as the people will turn out for the 2nd place candidate, holding on to that federal money and power comes first.

Comments
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Guest - Hillary Clinton   | Unregistered | 2008-02-08 21:41:16
Hillary Clinton will make a great president because she knows what it takes to win! She is strong and she will beat the Republicans in November.
republican   | Unregistered | 2008-02-08 23:55:36
I might not be too excited about McCain but if you want to see conservatives showing up to vote, it will be against Hillary! Mark my words - she will unite the Republican part more than any of our own candidates can.
california voter - Hillary or Obama doesn't matt   | Unregistered | 2008-02-09 04:56:56
It doesn't matter how many republicans you have angry at at Clinton because Bush has built more support AGAINST himself and his party than the Clintons could ever do. People are going to go out in record numbers and vote for change! This means changing the republicans out of office! Any president will listen to the will of the people more than Bush has, and once we have a new president we can start worrying about the details of how we can make America better
Guest - North Carolina Voter   | Unregistered | 2008-02-11 16:01:42
I wish the news media would stop trying to decide the election. They are clearly against Hillary, especially the women comentators. Why can't women stick together like men? Men and african americans are voting for Obama, macho men can't vote for a woman and the african americans are sticking together for Obama. Men have messed up this country. Give a woman a chance to fix it!!!!!!
SD Voter - I'll cast my vote - Vote for change in Congess   | | 2008-06-02 17:24:33
I hope you're right. People need to vote for change. Those Houses of Congress are mighty old. They need to be changed! They need term limits like the Pres. They are the ones that give bills/laws for the President to sign. The Pres can't do much without a good Congress. VOTE them all out.
Hillary the ****     | | 2008-02-20 17:05:13
Anyone But Hillary
^They REALLY don't like Hillary over here (edited for language)
Mary A. Martin   | | 2008-03-24 19:17:49
Why don't we demand the entire election process be changed? One primary date nationwide, polls opening and closing simultaneously, same with the general election. No disclosures of results until all precincts closed nationwide.

Campaigning to begin four months prior to primary and end two days prior to primary. Campaign funds be limited to one
million dollars for each candidate. No
caucuses or super delegates. Just an election by and for the people. All those other millions of dollars that the wealthy seen to want to spend could go to help victims of disasters. TV ads
and debates limited, extremely. Enough
to educate the public but not over saturate and skew the facts. We as a nation are extremely naive, but we are not stupid.
TERRY   | | 2008-04-26 08:43:36
HOW CAN THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY GIVE HILLARY THE DELEGATE COUNT IN MICHIGAN AND FLORIDA WHEN BARRACK WAS NOT EVEN ON THE BALLOT IN ONE AND DIDN'T EVEN CAMPAIGN IN THE OTHER? GIVE ME A FREAKIN BREAK, HILLARY! IF THOSE DELEGATES ARE ALLOWED WITHOUT A NEW PRIMARY IN BOTH STATES, I WILL HAVE LOST FAITH IN OUR GOVERNMENT COMPLETELY! THE GOVERNMENT (ALL SIDES) IS RUINING THIS NATION!
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Copyright (C) 2007 Alain Georgette / Copyright (C) 2006 Frantisek Hliva. All rights reserved.

Last Updated ( Wednesday, 09 April 2008 )
 
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