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Hillary Clinton vs. Mitt Romney in November 2008? |
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Tuesday, 22 January 2008 |
I like making predictions but I hate being wrong so I usually wait until a clear picture emerges so I don't get caught up in early developments. I posted about the Iowa caucus, but I don't think the enthusiasm and intensity of that event is going to carry Obama and Huckabee to any long-term victory. Barring any unforseen scandals, it looks like Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney are the big primary winners with a "2nd place strategy." A lot is sure to happen between now and November, so I won't say who will win that contest, just that I fully expect them to be the last candidates standing.
For Hillary, a close second is "good enough" because she
has a head start with a few hundred super-delegate votes and wins in
virtually uncontested states like Michigan.
Obama needs big wins if he wants to advance, and right now his margin
of victory is small enough to let Clinton walk away with the party's
nod. For Romney, his string of 2nd place
finishes puts him in the lead for delegates at this point in the game.
Huckabee and McCain also have a first-place finish, but they've done
great in some places and terrible in others. Romney's consistent
placement, funding resources, and media reach are paying off so far,
and I'm also predicting he will win big in Florida and take a
significant lead.
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Last Updated ( Wednesday, 09 April 2008 )
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