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The Myth of a Moderate Middle E-mail
Thursday, 07 February 2008

How the Minority "Middle" Coalition

Perpetuates Unpopular Policy

In my last post, I showed the four quadrant political belief scale.  I think this tool is a much more accurate descriptor of political beliefs and indentities than the traditional yet simplistic "left vs. right" paradigm.  Left and right may be good ways to describe general business and economic policies, but they do not begin to address social issues and personal liberty issues.  In the 2008 election, the left/right paradigm is failing to explain why liberal Obama and conservative Ron Paul agree on ending the war on terror, the war on drugs, and the P.A.T.R.I.O.T. Act.

 

Most polls show the voting population oppose to these policies and programs, but the myth has been established that the "bipartisan middle" comes to overwhelmingly support any legislation related to expanding the government's spending. 

 

This "middle" is nothing more than the respective authoritarian wings of each party acting in coordination. 

 

Myth of the moderate middle

 

 

 

 

 


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The Middle here is the group that comes to agree on things that end up being unpopular with the general population - things that tend to be of a strategic nature and may or may not require undue sacrifice from the population in terms of wealth and liberty.


And here's what that chart looks like on the four-quadrant system


The party leadership and majority of seats are typically held by more authoritarian representatives - in general I'd think its safe to say that politicians favor expansion of their own power more than the voters do. 

Elections Political Chart


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  
(Sorry about the lack of scale)
 
Although the left can carry the electoral majority, it is unlikely that reforms on these issues that are of importance to a majority of them will be accomplished.  Hillary Clinton is running her campaign and attracting votes under the assumptions that she opposes the war and various forms of warrantless spying, but her voting record indicates otherwise.  Her position in the Democratic party leadership and committee placement (and votes) in the Armed Services Committee suggest that she has a much more hawkish military policy than most of her supporters. 
 
Independents are all over the place 
 
Independent voters aren't necessarily the "moderates" either.  A lack of faith in the existant parties isn't limited to liberals, conservatives, authoritarians, or libertarians.  In some ways, independents tend to be extremists of their own right - intent to try new forms and systems of government that radically depart from the status quo. 

Take for example that McCain and Obama have both experienced significant success from independent voters - yet they have almost nothing else in common.  Viewed this way, they are drawing independents from opposite, extreme ends of the spectrum.  It is generally accepted in major media that Ron Paul's independent supporters are extremists - so can the same be shown for the other candidate's drawing independent support? 
 
I believe so, because political parties tend to move toward each other and settle on a very similar policy.  In this case of America's federal party system, it is a center-right authoritarian government with very little differentiaition in representation.  .The problem is the American voting population tends to be economically centrist and slightly libertarian.  Now, how do we synch the voting population to the type of government we have?
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Carl - An alternative 2D map     | | 2008-02-28 01:16:33
What exactly does left/right mean? The political compass folks seem quite ambiguous on the matter. When I played around with their test, I could not figure out how one could possibly be significantly libertarian and on the right at the same time. Their questions struck me as incredibly loaded towards a relatively socialist worldview.

Of course, some consider the Nolan Chart view favored by libertarians also to be loaded -- it focuses purely on the amount of government.

A few years ago I came up with an alternative 2D map in which left/right signifies equality/inequality and up/down signifies freedom/tyranny. The Democratic Party occupies the lower left while the Republican occupy both the upper and lower right. The upper left is unoccupied, awating a new political party.

You can see a picture of said map at this link.
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Copyright (C) 2007 Alain Georgette / Copyright (C) 2006 Frantisek Hliva. All rights reserved.

Last Updated ( Wednesday, 09 April 2008 )
 
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